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CE Flamengo vs Colo Colo

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play Colo Colo in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Colo Colo averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 1, Colo Colo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for CE Flamengo and 1.18 for Colo Colo. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CE Flamengo
30%
Draws
30%
Colo Colo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • CE Flamengo picked up more points recently compared to Colo Colo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 20%
Colo Colo Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 42%
Second Half Goal 45%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Flamengo Colo Colo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Colo Colo
0:0
Jun 8, 2013 Baiano 2
Colo Colo vs CE Flamengo
1:0
May 4, 2013 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Colo Colo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 40 / 100
Colo Colo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Flamengo Colo Colo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CE Flamengo attacking → ← attacking Colo Colo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Colo Colo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Colo Colo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145