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CE Flamengo vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play Itabuna in the Baiano 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Itabuna averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 3, Itabuna won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for CE Flamengo and 0.99 for Itabuna. This points to a Itabuna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CE Flamengo
30%
Draws
34%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabuna has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CE Flamengo.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for CE Flamengo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2 2014 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 20%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Flamengo Itabuna
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs CE Flamengo
2:1
May 24, 2015 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Itabuna
2:1
Apr 6, 2014 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Itabuna
2:1
Jun 16, 2013 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Itabuna
2:1
May 12, 2013 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs CE Flamengo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 36 / 100
Itabuna 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Flamengo Itabuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Itabuna let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Itabuna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itabuna
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo972019:123
2Jacobina962115:420
3CE Flamengo962122:1220
4Alagoinhas951318:1216
5Itabuna940513:1112
6Fluminense de Feira93338:1012
7EC Ypiranga932414:1211
8Jequie932412:1311
9Leonico90187:221
10Ipitanga90184:351