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CE Flamengo vs Jequie

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play Jequie in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Jequie averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 2, Jequie won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 16, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for CE Flamengo and 1.24 for Jequie. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CE Flamengo
31%
Draws
33%
Jequie
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CE Flamengo picked up more points recently compared to Jequie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 19%
Jequie Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Flamengo Jequie
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs CE Flamengo
1:0
Jun 14, 2015 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Jequie
5:1
Mar 16, 2014 Baiano 2
Jequie vs CE Flamengo
1:3
Jun 1, 2013 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Jequie
1:1
May 1, 2013 Baiano 2
Jequie vs CE Flamengo
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 36 / 100
Jequie 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Flamengo Jequie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CE Flamengo attacking → ← attacking Jequie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Jequie let in goals in 62% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jequie lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145