Sport Picks

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CE Forca E Luz vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lucas Bala
85' Event
Wallyson

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2024 game between CE Forca E Luz and ABC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CE Forca E Luz
20%
Draws
73%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • CE Forca E Luz haven't matched ABC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ABC a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ABC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 13%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Forca E Luz ABC
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 5 21
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 2 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs ABC
0:4
Dec 23, 2024 Club Friendly
ABC vs CE Forca E Luz
4:0
Jan 20, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs ABC
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Potiguar
ABC vs CE Forca E Luz
6:0
Feb 8, 2023 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs ABC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Bala
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallyson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
ABC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Forca E Luz ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

CE Forca E Luz's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

ABC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 36 outings.

CE Forca E Luz has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS ABC
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Forca E Luz

(Home)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
Page 1 of 6

ABC

(Away)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 6 4 2 0 15:2 14
2 Santa Cruz de Natal 6 3 3 0 10:3 12
3 Globo FC 6 1 1 4 3:19 4
4 Potyguar Seridoense 6 1 0 5 5:9 3
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 6 5 1 0 14:3 16
2 Baraunas 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
3 Potiguar de Mossoró 6 2 0 4 9:9 6
4 CE Forca E Luz 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)