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CE Forca E Luz vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Wallyson
35' Event
Madison
45' Event
Emanuel Junio

AI Match Summary

ABC in this Potiguar 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored ABC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CE Forca E Luz
20%
Draws
73%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • ABC have won more games recently than CE Forca E Luz.
  • ABC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ABC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 13%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Forca E Luz ABC
Matches Played 29 44
Wins 5 27
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.93 2.05
Goals Conceded 2 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs ABC
0:4
Dec 23, 2024 Club Friendly
ABC vs CE Forca E Luz
4:0
Jan 20, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs ABC
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Potiguar
ABC vs CE Forca E Luz
6:0
Feb 8, 2023 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs ABC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallyson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
ABC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Forca E Luz ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

CE Forca E Luz found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: ABC conceded in 48% of 44 recent games.

CE Forca E Luz has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS ABC
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Forca E Luz

(Home)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
Page 1 of 6

ABC

(Away)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 7 5 2 0 13:1 17
2 America RN 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
3 Laguna RN 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
4 Potiguar de Mossoró 7 4 0 3 9:7 12
5 Santa Cruz de Natal 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
6 Globo FC 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
7 Baraunas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
8 CE Forca E Luz 7 0 2 5 4:17 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)