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CE Forca E Luz vs America RN

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gustavo Ramos
35' Event
Rafael Jensen
37' Event
Rafinha

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2024 game between CE Forca E Luz and America RN finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America RN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CE Forca E Luz
15%
Draws
78%
America RN
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • CE Forca E Luz haven't matched America RN's recent run of results.
  • Model gives America RN a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • America RN have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 23%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Forca E Luz America RN
Matches Played 29 45
Wins 5 29
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Potiguar
America RN vs CE Forca E Luz
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs America RN
1:4
Mar 23, 2022 Potiguar
America RN vs CE Forca E Luz
4:0
Feb 6, 2022 Potiguar
America RN vs CE Forca E Luz
3:1
Jan 26, 2022 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs America RN
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagner
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

America RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Ramos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
America RN 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Forca E Luz America RN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CE Forca E Luz found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

America RN has conceded goals in 40% of their last 45 outings.

Solid form: CE Forca E Luz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS America RN
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Forca E Luz

(Home)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
Page 1 of 6

America RN

(Away)
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz de Natal 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 America RN 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 Potyguar Seridoense 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
4 Globo FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potiguar de Mossoró 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 ABC 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
3 Baraunas 4 2 2 0 9:3 2
4 CE Forca E Luz 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)