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CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Sun, Aug 3, 2025
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CEAC/Araruama host Sao Goncalo in the Carioca 2 2025. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: CEAC/Araruama at 0.75 goals for, 0.63 against; Sao Goncalo at 1.25 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, CEAC/Araruama have won 1 to Sao Goncalo's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.94, favoring CEAC/Araruama. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CEAC/Araruama
28%
Draws
50%
Sao Goncalo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Sao Goncalo are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 24%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Sao Goncalo
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs CEAC/Araruama
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 25 / 100
Sao Goncalo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Sao Goncalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Sao Goncalo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

CEAC/Araruama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Sao Goncalo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sao Goncalo3
Olaria0
Bangu1
CEAC/Araruama0
Final
Sao Goncalo1
Bangu3