Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CEAC/Araruama play Sao Goncalo in the Carioca 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, CEAC/Araruama averaged 0.89 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Sao Goncalo averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, CEAC/Araruama won 1, Sao Goncalo won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for CEAC/Araruama and 0.94 for Sao Goncalo. This points to a CEAC/Araruama double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CEAC/Araruama
35%
Draws
31%
Sao Goncalo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama picked up more points recently compared to Sao Goncalo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 24%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Sao Goncalo
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs CEAC/Araruama
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Beto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrickao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 35 / 100
Sao Goncalo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Sao Goncalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CEAC/Araruama or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CEAC/Araruama attacking → ← attacking Sao Goncalo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Sao Goncalo let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

CEAC/Araruama went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Goncalo lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 38
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179