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CEAC/Araruama W vs Buzios W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CEAC/Araruama W host Buzios W in the Carioca Women. CEAC/Araruama W go into this one as the clear favorite. Buzios W have shipped 11.57 goals a game lately, while CEAC/Araruama W have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.83. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 0.69, favoring CEAC/Araruama W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CEAC/Araruama W
15%
Draws
0%
Buzios W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CEAC/Araruama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama W have won more games recently than Buzios W.
  • CEAC/Araruama W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54.2%
CEAC/Araruama W Clean Sheet 20%
Buzios W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama W Buzios W
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 2 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.83 0.14
Goals Conceded 1.67 11.57
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama W 85 / 100
Buzios W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama W Buzios W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEAC/Araruama W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios W let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Buzios W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CEAC/Araruama W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CEAC/Araruama W found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (6 games).

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama W VS Buzios W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 10.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama W

(Home)
26 Oct
Olaria W
0 : 5
CEAC/Araruama W
23 Oct
Botafogo RJ W
5 : 0
CEAC/Araruama W
19 Oct
Boavista W
0 : 6
CEAC/Araruama W
16 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
0 : 0
EC Resende W
13 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
0 : 1
Perolas Negras W
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Buzios W

(Away)
25 Oct
Vasco W
10 : 0
Buzios W
18 Oct
Botafogo RJ W
17 : 0
Buzios W
11 Oct
Buzios W
1 : 8
EC Resende W
08 Oct
Perolas Negras W
7 : 0
Buzios W
04 Oct
Buzios W
0 : 6
Heips W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buzios W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Perolas Negras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CEAC/Araruama W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Heips W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Cabofriense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Campos AA W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Carioca Women (Second stage)