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Ceahlaul II vs Aerostar Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2014/2015 game between Ceahlaul II and Aerostar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aerostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ceahlaul II
20%
Draws
51%
Aerostar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aerostar come out ahead of Ceahlaul II on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ceahlaul II Clean Sheet 19%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceahlaul II Aerostar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.73 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs Aerostar
0:1
Oct 24, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Ceahlaul II
3:1
Jun 6, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs Aerostar
5:1
May 9, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Ceahlaul II
2:0
Nov 22, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs Aerostar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceahlaul II 32 / 100
Aerostar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceahlaul II Aerostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aerostar conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Ceahlaul II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ceahlaul II's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aerostar
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceahlaul II

(Home)
23 May
Ceahlaul II
0 : 1
Somuz Falticeni
17 May
ACS USV Iasi
3 : 0
Ceahlaul II
09 May
Ceahlaul II
5 : 2
Bucovina Radauti
03 May
Soimii Gura Humorului
1 : 1
Ceahlaul II
25 Apr
Ceahlaul II
1 : 1
CSM Vaslui
Page 1 of 6

Aerostar

(Away)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
04 Sept
Aerostar
2 : 1
VSK Gyergyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bucovina Pojorata 22 16 3 3 53:25 51
2 Stiinta Miroslava 22 16 1 5 43:19 49
3 Sepsi 22 14 4 4 39:14 46
4 Aerostar 22 12 2 8 35:31 38
5 Roman 22 11 2 9 41:29 35
6 Miercurea Ciuc 22 8 5 9 32:32 29
7 Bucovina Radauti 22 7 7 8 30:41 28
8 Ozana Targu Neamt 22 10 7 5 35:27 27
9 CSM Pascani 22 6 7 9 30:32 25
10 Sporting Liesti 22 4 3 15 25:49 15
11 Zagon 22 2 4 16 15:53 10
12 Ceahlaul II 22 2 3 17 20:46 9
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 (Main)