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Ceahlaul vs Aerostar Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 Stadionul Ceahlăul, Piatra Neamţ
Ceahlaul Logo

Ceahlaul

0 - 3
FT
Aerostar Logo

Aerostar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 game between Ceahlaul and Aerostar finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aerostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ceahlaul
15%
Draws
76%
Aerostar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Aerostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aerostar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aerostar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceahlaul Aerostar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.81 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul vs Aerostar
0:3
Oct 7, 2020 Romanian Cup
Ceahlaul vs Aerostar
3:0
Sep 21, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul vs Aerostar
0:2
Aug 29, 2018 Romanian Cup
Ceahlaul vs Aerostar
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceahlaul 10 / 100
Aerostar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceahlaul Aerostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aerostar let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Ceahlaul scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Ceahlaul has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceahlaul VS Aerostar
0.13 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceahlaul

(Home)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4
Bradul Putna
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Aerostar

(Away)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
04 Sept
Aerostar
2 : 1
VSK Gyergyo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 7 6 1 0 17:7 19
2 ACS USV Iasi 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
3 Adjud 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Aerostar 7 4 0 3 13:8 12
5 Targu Secuiesc 7 3 2 2 16:13 11
6 FC Bacau 2 7 3 2 2 9:13 11
7 Bradul Putna 7 3 1 3 18:13 10
8 Odorheiu 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
9 VSK Gyergyo 7 2 1 4 10:12 7
10 Viitorul Onesti 7 1 1 5 10:12 4
11 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 2:16 2
12 CSM Pascani 7 0 1 6 7:22 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)