Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Pavel A.
46'
46'
Sub
Pintea C. In: Granja R.
Out: Pintea C.
46'
46'
Sub
Telcean T. In: Stroe R.
Out: Telcean T.
AI Match Summary
FC Bacau in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Bacau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Bacau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Bacau have won more games recently than Ceahlaul.
- Win probability leans FC Bacau's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ceahlaul here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceahlaul | FC Bacau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 2
Ceahlaul vs FC Bacau
1:5
Aug 14, 2025 Romanian Cup
FC Bacau vs Ceahlaul
0:2
Aug 14, 2024 Romanian Cup
FC Bacau vs Ceahlaul
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ceahlaul Compare
Top Goalscorer Davordzie C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
FC Bacau Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavel A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aftanache A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ceahlaul 10 / 100
FC Bacau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ceahlaul FC Bacau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Bacau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FC Bacau conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Ceahlaul found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Ceahlaul stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ceahlaul VS FC Bacau
0.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ceahlaul
(Home) 03 Oct
Adjud
1 : 1 Ceahlaul
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3 Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0 Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1 Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0 Ceahlaul
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3 Aerostar
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1 Odorheiu
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4 Bradul Putna
09 May
Ceahlaul
0 : 3 Metalul Buzau
25 Apr
Ceahlaul
0 : 2 CS Din. Bucuresti
Page 1 of 3
FC Bacau
(Away) 03 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1 FC Bacau
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2 Cetatea Suceava
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1 FC Bacau
06 Sept
FC Bacau
6 : 1 CSC Dumbravita
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2 Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1 FC Bacau
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1 FC Bacau
22 Aug
Ramnicu Valcea
2 : 2 FC Bacau
19 Aug
Popesti Leordeni
0 : 3 FC Bacau
12 Aug
Viitorul Onesti
0 : 3 FC Bacau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 37:13 | 53 |
| 2 | Sepsi | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 34:18 | 44 |
| 3 | Chindia Targoviste | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 38:20 | 39 |
| 4 | FC Bihor | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40:24 | 39 |
| 5 | Voluntari | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 30:16 | 39 |
| 6 | Steaua Bucuresti | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 36:27 | 39 |
| 7 | FC ASA Tg. Mures | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37:22 | 37 |
| 8 | CSM Resita | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 35:29 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:26 | 33 |
| 10 | Metalul Buzau | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 33:26 | 32 |
| 11 | Poli Iasi | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25:22 | 31 |
| 12 | Afumati | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30:26 | 30 |
| 13 | Concordia | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29:24 | 27 |
| 14 | Gloria Bistrita | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:29 | 26 |
| 15 | CSM Slatina | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:28 | 26 |
| 16 | CSC Dumbravita | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:33 | 25 |
| 17 | Selimbar | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27:32 | 20 |
| 18 | Ceahlaul | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 19 | CS Din. Bucuresti | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Tunari | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 21 | CSM Satu Mare | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:45 | 14 |
| 22 | Campulung | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10:53 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
