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Ceara B vs Atletico Cearense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes 2024
Ceara B Logo

Ceara B

2 - 2
FT
Atletico Cearense Logo

Atletico Cearense

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Leo Rafael
51' Event
Ball
61' Event
Leo Rafael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ceara B
15%
Draws
21%
Atletico Cearense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ceara B a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Atletico Cearense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ceara B Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara B Atletico Cearense
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 12
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Ceara B vs Atletico Cearense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara B Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Rafael
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atletico Cearense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ball
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos da Silva L. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara B 77 / 100
Atletico Cearense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara B Atletico Cearense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ceara B scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Recent resilience: Ceara B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceara B VS Atletico Cearense
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara B

(Home)
29 Nov
Ceara B
1 : 2
Maracana
17 Nov
Ceara B
2 : 1
Caucaia
05 Nov
Maracana
2 : 0
Ceara B
01 Nov
Tirol
0 : 1
Ceara B
26 Oct
Ceara B
4 : 0
Vila Real
Page 1 of 2

Atletico Cearense

(Away)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Atletico Cearense 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Fortaleza B 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Tirol 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caucaia 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
2 Floresta EC 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
3 Ceara B 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2024 (Play Offs)