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Ceara B vs Atletico Cearense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atletico Cearense have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Ceara B have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Ceara B slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 0.80, favoring Ceara B. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ceara B
15%
Draws
21%
Atletico Cearense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Ceara B are scoring more at 1.33.
  • Ceara B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ceara B Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara B Atletico Cearense
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 2 12
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Ceara B vs Atletico Cearense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara B 40 / 100
Atletico Cearense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara B Atletico Cearense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ceara B found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).

Ceara B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceara B VS Atletico Cearense
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara B

(Home)
29 Nov
Ceara B
1 : 2
Maracana
17 Nov
Ceara B
2 : 1
Caucaia
05 Nov
Maracana
2 : 0
Ceara B
01 Nov
Tirol
0 : 1
Ceara B
26 Oct
Ceara B
4 : 0
Vila Real
Page 1 of 2

Atletico Cearense

(Away)
02 Nov
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Vila Real
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)