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Ceara B vs Vila Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vila Real have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Ceara B have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Ceara B have won 1 to Vila Real's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 4:0. The numbers (0.78 xG vs 1.04) point toward Vila Real. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ceara B
15%
Draws
45%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Ceara B on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Vila Real arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ceara B Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara B Vila Real
Matches Played 9 20
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Ceara B vs Vila Real
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara B 32 / 100
Vila Real 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara B Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ceara B's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Vila Real has conceded goals in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Recent resilience: Ceara B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceara B VS Vila Real
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara B

(Home)
29 Nov
Ceara B
1 : 2
Maracana
17 Nov
Ceara B
2 : 1
Caucaia
05 Nov
Maracana
2 : 0
Ceara B
01 Nov
Tirol
0 : 1
Ceara B
26 Oct
Ceara B
4 : 0
Vila Real
Page 1 of 2

Vila Real

(Away)
02 Nov
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Vila Real
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)