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Ceara U20 vs Novorizontino U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Jhones
84' Event
Gabriel Amaral
90' Event
Kaua Ziegler

AI Match Summary

Ceara U20 in this Brasileiro U20 B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceara U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ceara U20
20%
Draws
36%
Novorizontino U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Novorizontino U20 haven't matched Ceara U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ceara U20 a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara U20 Novorizontino U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Brasileiro U20 B
Ceara U20 vs Novorizontino U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Amaral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Ziegler
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhones
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara U20 49 / 100
Novorizontino U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara U20 Novorizontino U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Ceara U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Novorizontino U20 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ceara U20 VS Novorizontino U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
22 Aug
Novorizontino U20
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
14 Aug
Botafogo SP U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 CRB U20 7 4 2 1 9:6 14
3 Atletico-MG U20 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
4 Goias U20 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
5 Novorizontino U20 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Mirassol U20 7 2 0 5 8:17 6
7 Chapecoense-SC U20 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
8 Brusque U20 7 0 0 7 5:19 0
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico GO U20 7 5 0 2 13:9 15
2 Coritiba U20 7 4 2 1 14:7 14
3 Sport Recife U20 7 4 1 2 15:9 13
4 Internacional U20 7 4 0 3 14:13 12
5 Vila Nova FC U20 7 3 2 2 15:16 11
6 Botafogo SP U20 7 3 1 3 15:9 10
7 Paysandu PA U20 7 1 0 6 5:13 3
8 Operario PR U20 7 1 0 6 5:20 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs)