Sport Picks
Ceara vs America MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza 
AI Match Summary
Ceara host America MG in the Serie B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. America MG have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Ceara have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Ceara have won 2 to America MG's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.75, favoring Ceara. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ceara carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceara | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America MG let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ceara scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ceara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ceara
(Home)America MG
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | 64 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 45:23 | 64 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | 59 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | 54 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | 52 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | 51 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39:46 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 23:54 | 23 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | 15 |
