Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara vs Athletic Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Jhonatan Silva
46'
Sub
Fernando In: Costa S.
Out: Fernando
46'
Sub
Julio Cesar In: Luiz Otavio
Out: Julio Cesar

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ceara and Athletic Club finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ceara
44%
Draws
20%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceara's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Athletic Club have produced (0.75).
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ceara Clean Sheet 21%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara Athletic Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Athletic Club
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 37 / 100
Athletic Club 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara Athletic Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Athletic Club conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Ceara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS Athletic Club
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2EC Juventude1895419:832
3Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
4Operario-PR1794422:1831
5Fortaleza1894521:1731
6Novorizontino1886428:1730
7Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12CRB1865728:3223
13Athletic Club1758416:1623
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Ceara1847716:2119
18Avai1845919:2517
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG18151212:298