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Ceara vs Athletic Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Ceara Logo

Ceara

0 - 0
FT
Athletic Club Logo

Athletic Club

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Jhonatan Silva
46'
Sub
Fernando In: Costa S.
Out: Fernando
46'
Sub
Julio Cesar In: Luiz Otavio
Out: Julio Cesar
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ceara and Athletic Club finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ceara
35%
Draws
32%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ceara Clean Sheet 15%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara Athletic Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Athletic Club
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 35 / 100
Athletic Club 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara Athletic Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Athletic Club conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Ceara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS Athletic Club
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club

(Away)
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2
Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 Fortaleza 30 14 10 6 35:26 52
3 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 30 14 8 8 31:27 50
6 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
7 CRB 30 14 6 10 45:41 48
8 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 30 10 13 7 30:25 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Athletic Club 30 10 12 8 36:33 42
14 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 30 8 6 16 30:41 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)