Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Castelão, Fortaleza

Ceara

Thu, May 14, 2026

2 - 2

12:30 AM

Atletico-MG

Our Tip

Match Events

Cisse M.

Alex Silva

(Penalty)

17'

Lodi R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Betano do Brasil tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ceara

39%

Draws

30%

Atletico-MG

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Atletico-MG have won more games recently than Ceara.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Atletico-MG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Ceara Clean Sheet 23%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ceara	Atletico-MG
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	9	13
Draws	9	4
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	0.63	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil

Ceara vs Atletico-MG

2:2

Apr 23, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

2:1

Oct 25, 2025 Serie A Betano

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

1:0

Jun 1, 2025 Serie A Betano

Ceara vs Atletico-MG

0:1

Oct 9, 2022 Serie A Betano

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascini K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 33 / 100

Atletico-MG 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ceara Atletico-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Ceara's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Ceara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS Atletico-MG

0.63 Goals Scored 0.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38

75% Over 1.5 25%

38% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)

26 Jul

Sao Bernardo

3 : 4

Ceara

22 Jul

Ceara

0 : 1

CRB

17 Jul

America MG

1 : 1

Ceara

13 Jul

Ceara

0 : 0

Athletic Club

04 Jul

Goias

2 : 0

Ceara

Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG

(Away)

26 Jul

Palmeiras

1 : 2

Atletico-MG

21 Jul

Atletico-MG

1 : 1

Bahia

31 May

Vasco

0 : 1

Atletico-MG

27 May

Atletico-MG

1 : 0

Academia Puerto Cabello

24 May

Corinthians

1 : 0

Atletico-MG

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Portuguesa-

TBD-

AE Altos-

Avai-

TBD-

Porto Vitoria-

Paysandu PA-

TBD-

Portuguesa RJ-

TBD-

Maracana-

TBD-

Vasco-

Capital FC-

TBD-

Manaus FC-

Londrina-

TBD-

SC Penedense-

Betim FC1

Piaui0

TBD-

Operario-PR-

Juazeirense-

TBD-

Capital-

TBD-

Fluminense-

Sampaio Correa FE1

Desportiva Ferroviaria2

TBD-

Sport Recife-

Anapolis-

TBD-

Cianorte-

Rio Branco ES-

TBD-

Athletic Club-

Ypiranga FC-

TBD-

Ji-Parana2

Pantanal0

TBD-

Internacional-

Ivinhema1

Independente AP0

TBD-

Volta Redonda-

America RN-

TBD-

Gremio Atletico Sampaio-

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)-

TBD-

America MG-

TBD-

America de Propria1

Tirol2

TBD-

Corinthians-

Bragantino-

TBD-

Mirassol-

Gremio-

TBD-

Vasco da Gama AC1

Velo Clube2

TBD-

Vila Nova FC-

ASA-

TBD-

Operario MS-

Confianca-

TBD-

Tombense-

TBD-

Oratorio-

Athletico-PR-

TBD-

Operario VG-

TBD-

Porto Velho-

Atletico GO-

TBD-

Primavera AC2

Bragantino PA1

Ponte Preta-

TBD-

SER Caxias do Sul-

TBD-

Guarany de Bage-

Flamengo RJ-

TBD-

Vitoria-

Atletico-MG-

TBD-

Joinville-

TBD-

CSA-

Sao Bernardo-

TBD-

Alagoinhas-

Sao Luiz-

TBD-

Maranhao-

Ceara-

TBD-

Araguaina0

Primavera EC3

Sao Paulo-

TBD-

Tuna Luso-

TBD-

Tocantinopolis-

EC Juventude-

TBD-

Galvez1

Guapore2

Bare0

Madureira3

TBD-

ABC-

Aguia De Maraba-

TBD-

Independencia Futebol Clube-

Santos-

TBD-

Coritiba-

Bahia-

TBD-

Remo-

Botafogo RJ-

TBD-

Chapecoense-SC-

Boavista-

TBD-

Maringa FC-

Retro-

TBD-

Uberlandia-

Gama2

Monte Roraima0

TBD-

Goias-

Trem-

TBD-

Fluminense-PI-

TBD-

Cruzeiro-

Palmeiras-

TBD-

Santa Catarina2

IAPE0

TBD-

Cuiaba-

Ceilandia-

TBD-

Jacuipense-

Mixto-

TBD-

Botafogo PB-

Novorizontino-

TBD-

Nacional-AM (Manaus)-

Castanhal-

TBD-

Guarani-

Nova Iguacu-

TBD-

Lagarto-

Manauara-

TBD-

Itabaiana-

Fortaleza-

TBD-

Maguary1

Laguna RN0

Santa Cruz-

TBD-

Sousa-

CRB-

TBD-

Porto-BA2

Serra Branca1

Imperatriz-

TBD-

Amazonas-

Figueirense-

TBD-

Azuriz-

1/128-finals

Portuguesa5

AE Altos1

Avai3

Porto Vitoria0

Paysandu PA-

TBD-

Portuguesa RJ1

Maracana0

TBD-

Vasco-

Capital FC1

Manaus FC2

Londrina1

SC Penedense0

Betim FC0

Operario-PR2

Juazeirense1

Capital2

TBD-

Fluminense-

Desportiva Ferroviaria0

Sport Recife1

Anapolis3

Cianorte1

Rio Branco ES1

Athletic Club2

Ypiranga FC2

Ji-Parana0

TBD-

Internacional-

Ivinhema2

Volta Redonda4

America RN3

Gremio Atletico Sampaio0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)-

TBD-

America MG2

Tirol1

TBD-

Corinthians-

Bragantino-

TBD-

Mirassol-

Gremio-

TBD-

Velo Clube0

Vila Nova FC1

ASA1

Operario MS2

Confianca-

TBD-

Tombense2

Oratorio1

Athletico-PR-

TBD-

Operario VG1

Porto Velho2

Atletico GO1

Primavera AC0

Ponte Preta-

TBD-

SER Caxias do Sul0

Guarany de Bage1

Flamengo RJ-

TBD-

Vitoria-

Atletico-MG-

TBD-

Joinville1

CSA0

Sao Bernardo2

Alagoinhas0

Sao Luiz0

Maranhao1

Ceara2

Primavera EC1

Sao Paulo-

TBD-

Tuna Luso4

Tocantinopolis1

EC Juventude5

Guapore0

Madureira1

ABC0

Aguia De Maraba2

Independencia Futebol Clube0

Santos-

TBD-

Coritiba-

Bahia-

TBD-

Remo-

Botafogo RJ-

TBD-

Chapecoense-SC-

Boavista2

Maringa FC3

Retro1

Uberlandia2

Gama2

Goias3

Trem0

Fluminense-PI1

TBD-

Cruzeiro-

Palmeiras-

TBD-

Santa Catarina2

Cuiaba1

Ceilandia1

Jacuipense2

Mixto2

Botafogo PB1

Novorizontino4

Nacional-AM (Manaus)0

Castanhal2

Guarani1

Nova Iguacu2

Lagarto1

Manauara3

Itabaiana1

Fortaleza4

Maguary3

Santa Cruz0

Sousa1

CRB6

Porto-BA0

Imperatriz0

Amazonas3

Figueirense1

Azuriz0

1/64-finals

Portuguesa2

Avai1

Paysandu PA3

Portuguesa RJ1

TBD-

Vasco-

Manaus FC0

Londrina1

Operario-PR2

Capital0

TBD-

Fluminense-

Sport Recife2

Anapolis1

Athletic Club2

Ypiranga FC0

TBD-

Internacional-

Volta Redonda1

America RN0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1

America MG0

TBD-

Corinthians-

Bragantino-

TBD-

Mirassol-

Gremio-

TBD-

Vila Nova FC2

Operario MS1

Confianca2

Tombense0

Athletico-PR-

TBD-

Porto Velho0

Atletico GO1

Ponte Preta1

Guarany de Bage0

Flamengo RJ-

TBD-

Vitoria-

Atletico-MG-

TBD-

Joinville0

Sao Bernardo1

Maranhao0

Ceara1

Sao Paulo-

TBD-

Tuna Luso1

EC Juventude2

Madureira0

Aguia De Maraba1

Santos-

TBD-

Coritiba-

Bahia-

TBD-

Remo-

Botafogo RJ-

TBD-

Chapecoense-SC-

Maringa FC3

Uberlandia2

Goias3

Fluminense-PI0

TBD-

Cruzeiro-

Palmeiras-

TBD-

Santa Catarina0

Jacuipense1

Mixto0

Novorizontino3

Castanhal0

Nova Iguacu4

Manauara0

Fortaleza1

Sousa0

CRB2

Amazonas0

Figueirense1

1/32-finals

Portuguesa2

Paysandu PA3

TBD-

Vasco-

Londrina0

Operario-PR1

TBD-

Fluminense-

Sport Recife1

Athletic Club3

TBD-

Internacional-

Volta Redonda0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1

TBD-

Corinthians-

Bragantino-

TBD-

Mirassol-

Gremio-

TBD-

Vila Nova FC0

Confianca1

Athletico-PR-

TBD-

Atletico GO1

Ponte Preta0

Flamengo RJ-

TBD-

Vitoria-

Atletico-MG-

TBD-

Sao Bernardo0

Ceara1

Sao Paulo-

TBD-

EC Juventude3

Aguia De Maraba0

Santos-

TBD-

Coritiba-

Bahia-

TBD-

Remo-

Botafogo RJ-

TBD-

Chapecoense-SC-

Maringa FC0

Goias1

TBD-

Cruzeiro-

Palmeiras-

TBD-

Jacuipense1

Novorizontino0

Nova Iguacu0

Fortaleza1

CRB1

Figueirense0

1/16-finals

Paysandu PA2

Vasco4

Operario-PR1

Fluminense2

Athletic Club3

Internacional5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)0

Corinthians2

Bragantino2

Mirassol3

Gremio5

Confianca0

Athletico-PR1

Atletico GO0

Flamengo RJ2

Vitoria3

Atletico-MG4

Ceara3

Sao Paulo2

EC Juventude3

Santos2

Coritiba0

Bahia2

Remo5

Botafogo RJ1

Chapecoense-SC2

Goias2

Cruzeiro3

Palmeiras7

Jacuipense1

Fortaleza2

CRB1

1/8-finals

Vasco-

Fluminense-

Internacional-

Corinthians-

Mirassol-

Gremio-

Athletico-PR-

Vitoria-

Atletico-MG-

EC Juventude-

Santos-

Remo-

Chapecoense-SC-

Cruzeiro-

Palmeiras-

Fortaleza-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Ceara vs Atletico-MG

Brazil

Ceara

Atletico-MG

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ceara Compare

Atletico-MG Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

Atletico-MG

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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