Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

MOIK Baku

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cebrayil play MOIK Baku in the I Liqa. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cebrayil averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. MOIK Baku averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Cebrayil won 0, MOIK Baku won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 2, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Cebrayil and 1.56 for MOIK Baku. This points to a MOIK Baku double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Cebrayil

22%

Draws

60%

MOIK Baku

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

MOIK Baku has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cebrayil.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for MOIK Baku.
League standings and seasonal metrics in I Liqa provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Cebrayil Clean Sheet 15%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cebrayil	MOIK Baku
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	10
Draws	4	7
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Feb 5, 2026 I Liqa

Cebrayil vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Oct 16, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Feb 6, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebrayil Compare

Top Goalscorer Daouda A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bakhshali M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebrayil 19 / 100

MOIK Baku 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cebrayil MOIK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebrayil scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

MOIK Baku let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cebrayil went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

MOIK Baku lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cebrayil VS MOIK Baku

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18