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Cebrayil vs Shimal

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Cebrayil Logo

Cebrayil

2 - 3
FT
Shimal Logo

Shimal

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Achimi D.
55' Event
Achimi D.
56' Event
Osmanov N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2025/2026 game between Cebrayil and Shimal finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shimal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Cebrayil
20%
Draws
58%
Shimal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Shimal haven't matched Cebrayil's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shimal's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shimal here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cebrayil Clean Sheet 20%
Shimal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebrayil Shimal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Shimal
2:3
Feb 24, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Cebrayil
3:2
Nov 20, 2025 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Shimal
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebrayil Compare

Top Goalscorer Achimi D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Shykhamirov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osmanov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebrayil 12 / 100
Shimal 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebrayil Shimal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Cebrayil's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cebrayil has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cebrayil VS Shimal
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cebrayil

(Home)
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Cebrayil
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Baku Sporting
30 Apr
Sabail
6 : 0
Cebrayil
22 Apr
Cebrayil
2 : 1
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

Shimal

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Cebrayil 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)