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Cebu FC vs Davao Aguilas

Philippines Philippines

PFL
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AI Match Summary

Cebu FC play Davao Aguilas in the PFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cebu FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Davao Aguilas averaged 1 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Cebu FC won 3, Davao Aguilas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Cebu FC and 1.38 for Davao Aguilas. This points to a Cebu FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cebu FC
30%
Draws
34%
Davao Aguilas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cebu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cebu FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Davao Aguilas.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Cebu FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in PFL provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 17%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Davao Aguilas
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Davao Aguilas
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Davao Aguilas
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Cebu FC
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 PFL
Cebu FC vs Davao Aguilas
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Cebu FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamoto K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 36 / 100
Davao Aguilas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Davao Aguilas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebu FC scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Davao Aguilas let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cebu FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Davao Aguilas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cebu FC VS Davao Aguilas
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger251861109:1760
2Taguig25184391:1558
3Kaya FC25153776:2148
4Cebu FC25146574:2548
5Davao Aguilas25124951:3440
6Stallion25910664:3137