Sport Picks
Cefn Albion vs Felinheli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Felinheli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cefn Albion lately — more wins on the board than Felinheli.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Cefn Albion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Felinheli, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Cefn Albion Clean Sheet 10%
Felinheli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cefn Albion | Felinheli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.33 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.56 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Cefn Albion vs Felinheli
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cefn Albion 30 / 100
Felinheli 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cefn Albion Felinheli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Felinheli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cefn Albion scored in 89% of their last 9 outings.
Felinheli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Felinheli has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cefn Albion VS Felinheli
2.38 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cefn Albion
(Home) 20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
19 Oct
Cefn Albion
7 : 1 Dolgellau Athletic
Felinheli
(Away) 14 Oct
Felinheli
0 : 6 Newtown
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
08 Oct
Felinheli
1 : 4 Conwy Borough
17 Sept
Felinheli
2 : 1 Glannau
14 Aug
Saltney Town
3 : 1 Felinheli
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
14 Aug
Saltney Town
3 : 1 Felinheli
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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