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Cefn Druids vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023 The Rock, Rhosymedre
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Mann C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Cefn Druids and Gresford finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cefn Druids
20%
Draws
0%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cefn Druids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cefn Druids come out ahead of Gresford on wins alone.
  • Cefn Druids are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gresford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 13%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cefn Druids Gresford
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.77 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 2, 2023 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Gresford
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 Cymru North
Gresford vs Cefn Druids
2:1
Oct 3, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Cefn Druids vs Gresford
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cefn Druids Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Mann C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 40 / 100
Gresford 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cefn Druids Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresford has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Gresford registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cefn Druids scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gresford
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cefn Druids

(Home)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5
Brickfield Rangers
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)