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Cefn Druids vs Nefyn United

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2005/2006 The Rock, Rhosymedre
Cefn Druids Logo

Cefn Druids

3 - 1
FT
Nefyn United Logo

Nefyn United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Cefn Druids advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cefn Druids
20%
Draws
48%
Nefyn United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nefyn United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Nefyn United haven't matched Cefn Druids's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nefyn United a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Cefn Druids have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cefn Druids, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 13%
Nefyn United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cefn Druids Nefyn United
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 14 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.81 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2005 FAW Welsh Cup
Cefn Druids vs Nefyn United
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 14 / 100
Nefyn United 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cefn Druids Nefyn United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nefyn United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nefyn United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 10 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cefn Druids found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Nefyn United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cefn Druids VS Nefyn United
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Cefn Druids

(Home)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Nefyn United

(Away)
20 Sept
Rhostyllen
5 : 2
Nefyn United
19 Oct
Nefyn United
0 : 2
Bangor City
09 Nov
Nefyn United
1 : 3
Caersws FC
12 Oct
Nefyn United
2 : 1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
02 Oct
Nefyn United
1 : 3
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llanelli 3
TNS 4
Lex Glyndwr XI 0
Porthmadog 0
Caernarfon 3
Bala 4
Buckley 3
Bangor City 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Newtown 6
Pontyclun FC 0
Mold Alexandra 0
Prestatyn 5
Carmarthen Town 4
Briton Ferry 0
Cefn Druids 3
Nefyn United 1
Glantraeth FC 2
Rhyl 5
Pontypridd United 1
Aberystwyth 0
Goytre Utd 6
Troedyrhiw FC 3
Ely Rangers 1
Cwmbran Town 4
Port Talbot 3
Bryntirion Athletic 0
Caersws FC 3
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Llangefni 3
Llanrwst United 0
1/8-finals
Llanelli 1
TNS 0
Caernarfon 4
Bala 0
Bangor City 2
Newtown 1
Prestatyn 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Cefn Druids 3
Rhyl 5
Pontypridd United 0
Goytre Utd 5
Cwmbran Town 1
Port Talbot 3
Caersws FC 1
Llangefni 3
Quarter-finals
Llanelli 3
Caernarfon 0
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 0
Rhyl 5
Goytre Utd 2
Port Talbot 3
Llangefni 0
Semi-finals
Llanelli 0
Bangor City 1
Rhyl 3
Port Talbot 2
Final
Bangor City 0
Rhyl 2