Sport Picks

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Cefn Druids vs Penycae FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011
Sat, Sep 11, 2010
6 - 4
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cefn Druids in this FA Cup 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 6-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cefn Druids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cefn Druids
40%
Draws
29%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cefn Druids lately — more wins on the board than Penycae FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2010/2011 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 20%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cefn Druids Penycae FC
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 14 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2010 FA Cup
Cefn Druids vs Penycae FC
6:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 32 / 100
Penycae FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cefn Druids Penycae FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penycae FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Cefn Druids's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: Penycae FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cefn Druids VS Penycae FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Gwalchmai1
Port Talbot4
Caersws FC4
Llanidloes Town2
Bangor City2
Bryntirion Athletic1
Haverfordwest3
Holyhead2
Goytre Utd2
Carmarthen Town3
Connahs Q.5
AFC Porth3
Bow Street2
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Porthmadog0
Bala1
Aberaman0
Cefn Druids4
Llanelli1
Aberystwyth0
Guilsfield1
Rhos Aelwyd2
Cambrian United2
Prestatyn3
Neath Athletic1
Rhyl2
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
TNS3
Corus Steel0
Grange Harlequins2
Newtown1
Bridgend Town2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot3
Caersws FC0
Bangor City5
Haverfordwest3
Carmarthen Town2
Connahs Q.3
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Bala1
Cefn Druids1
Llanelli4
Rhos Aelwyd1
Prestatyn6
Rhyl1
TNS2
Grange Harlequins1
Bridgend Town0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot0
Bangor City3
Connahs Q.4
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Llanelli1
Prestatyn0
TNS2
Grange Harlequins0
Semi-finals
Bangor City1
Connahs Q.0
Llanelli1
TNS0
Final
Bangor City1
Llanelli4