Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 game between Ceilandense and Bosque Formosa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ceilandense
6%
Draws
4%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bosque Formosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 15%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Ceilandense
2:0
Feb 4, 2015 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
0:1
Feb 9, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
3:2
Apr 28, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
2:0
Mar 19, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 84 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Bosque Formosa let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ceilandense scored in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Bosque Formosa
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luziania1172211:523
2Brasiliense1165014:423
3Brasilia FC (DF)1155114:920
4Sobradinho1161422:1219
5Gama1143411:915
6Ceilandia1143413:1215
7Unai EC1142510:1214
8Santa Maria114259:1114
9Bosque Formosa1141616:2113
10Ceilandense113269:1811
11Capital112278:158
12Legiao1114610:197
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)