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Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

3 - 2
FT
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 game between Ceilandense and Bosque Formosa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ceilandense
15%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bosque Formosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 15%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.73 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Ceilandense
2:0
Feb 4, 2015 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
0:1
Feb 9, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
3:2
Apr 28, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
2:0
Mar 19, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Bosque Formosa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 84 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Bosque Formosa let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ceilandense scored in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Bosque Formosa
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)