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Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2010
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

0 - 1
FT
Botafogo DF Logo

Botafogo DF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 game between Ceilandense and Botafogo DF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo DF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ceilandense
15%
Draws
0%
Botafogo DF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo DF come out ahead of Ceilandense on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Botafogo DF
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.76 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
3:0
Feb 16, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
3:3
Mar 12, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense
2:1
Feb 2, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
1:2
Apr 11, 2010 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 85 / 100
Botafogo DF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Botafogo DF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Botafogo DF's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ceilandense found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Botafogo DF
0.5 Goals Scored 0.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Botafogo DF

(Away)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
2 Ceilandia 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Botafogo DF 6 2 2 2 7:12 8
4 Ceilandense 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 (Play Offs)