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Ceilandense vs Capital Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandense in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ceilandense
30%
Draws
47%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital lately — more wins on the board than Ceilandense.
  • Capital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Capital have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 20%
Capital Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Capital
Matches Played 33 47
Wins 5 25
Draws 6 15
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.15 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Brasiliense
Capital vs Ceilandense
4:1
Feb 25, 2024 Brasiliense
Capital vs Ceilandense
3:0
Jan 26, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Ceilandense
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Capital
0:1
Apr 13, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Capital
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 10 / 100
Capital 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Capital conceded in 68% of 47 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ceilandense scored in 45% of their last 33 games.

Ceilandense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Capital
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 5 5 0 0 8:0 15
2 Sobradinho 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Botafogo DF 5 1 2 2 6:12 5
4 Unai EC 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
5 Legiao 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
6 Luziania 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
2 Ceilandense 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Gama 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
5 Capital 5 1 2 2 9:10 5
6 Brazlandia 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (Second stage - Play Offs)