Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandense vs Capital

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandense in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ceilandense
30%
Draws
47%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital lately — more wins on the board than Ceilandense.
  • Capital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Capital have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 20%
Capital Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Capital
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Brasiliense
Capital vs Ceilandense
4:1
Feb 25, 2024 Brasiliense
Capital vs Ceilandense
3:0
Jan 26, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Ceilandense
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Capital
0:1
Apr 13, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Capital
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 10 / 100
Capital 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Capital conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ceilandense scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Ceilandense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Capital
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 5 5 0 0 8:0 15
2 Sobradinho 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Botafogo DF 5 1 2 2 6:12 5
4 Unai EC 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
5 Legiao 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
6 Luziania 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
2 Ceilandense 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Gama 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
5 Capital 5 1 2 2 9:10 5
6 Brazlandia 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (Second stage - Play Offs)