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Ceilandia U20 vs Ceilandense U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Ceilandia U20 and Ceilandense U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ceilandia U20
35%
Draws
24%
Ceilandense U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ceilandia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceilandia U20 come out ahead of Ceilandense U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ceilandia U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia U20 Ceilandense U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.47 0.87
Goals Conceded 3.2 3.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Ceilandense U20
1:1
May 25, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Ceilandense U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Ceilandense U20
8:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia U20 34 / 100
Ceilandense U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia U20 Ceilandense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandense U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Ceilandia U20's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ceilandia U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia U20 VS Ceilandense U20
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
4.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0
Luziania U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2
Ceilandia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandia U20
1 : 6
Canaa U20
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Ceilandense U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Ceilandense U20
0 : 8
Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandense U20
2 : 2
Brasilia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandense U20
0 : 0
Luziania U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)