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Ceilandia vs Bosque Formosa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
Ceilandia Logo

Ceilandia

1 - 3
FT
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 game between Ceilandia and Bosque Formosa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosque Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ceilandia
30%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceilandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceilandia come out ahead of Bosque Formosa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ceilandia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 18%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.22 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2020 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Bosque Formosa
1:3
Mar 13, 2019 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Bosque Formosa
0:1
Mar 22, 2018 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Bosque Formosa
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Ceilandia
0:2
Jan 31, 2018 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Bosque Formosa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia 85 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ceilandia scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Bosque Formosa has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Bosque Formosa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia

(Home)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7

Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 11 10 1 0 41:8 31
2 Brasiliense 11 9 1 1 38:7 28
3 Real Brasilia 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
4 Bosque Formosa 11 6 1 4 19:19 19
5 Taguatinga 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
6 Capital 11 3 6 2 15:12 15
7 Luziania 11 4 2 5 22:21 14
8 Sobradinho 11 4 1 6 13:24 13
9 Unai EC 11 3 2 6 19:22 11
10 Ceilandia 11 2 2 7 8:26 8
11 Ceilandense 11 0 3 8 1:27 3
12 Paranoa 11 0 2 9 8:37 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 (Play Offs)