Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandia vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ceilandia
35%
Draws
26%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ceilandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ceilandia have won more games recently than Ceilandense.
  • Win probability leans Ceilandia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ceilandia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 18%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia Ceilandense
Matches Played 48 33
Wins 21 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.44 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Ceilandia
0:2
Mar 10, 2024 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Ceilandense
2:0
Feb 29, 2020 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Ceilandense
0:0
Mar 1, 2015 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Ceilandia
0:2
Feb 15, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Ceilandense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia 49 / 100
Ceilandense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (48 games).

Defensive concern: Ceilandense conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ceilandia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia

(Home)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 5 5 0 0 8:0 15
2 Sobradinho 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Botafogo DF 5 1 2 2 6:12 5
4 Unai EC 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
5 Legiao 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
6 Luziania 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
2 Ceilandense 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Gama 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
5 Capital 5 1 2 2 9:10 5
6 Brazlandia 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (Second stage - Play Offs)