Sport Picks
Ceilandia vs Real Brasilia
Brazil
Brasiliense Estadio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Abadiao), Ceilândia 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Brasiliense game between Ceilandia and Real Brasilia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ceilandia come out ahead of Real Brasilia on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ceilandia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceilandia | Real Brasilia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ceilandia Compare
Real Brasilia Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ceilandia scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Real Brasilia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Ceilandia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Real Brasilia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ceilandia
(Home)Real Brasilia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia FC (DF) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | 3 |