Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandia W vs Legiao W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense Women game between Ceilandia W and Legiao W finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ceilandia W
15%
Draws
42%
Legiao W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceilandia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ceilandia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ceilandia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ceilandia W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Ceilandia W Clean Sheet 19%
Legiao W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia W Legiao W
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.54 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Brasiliense Women
Ceilandia W vs Legiao W
9:1
Aug 24, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Legiao W vs Ceilandia W
0:2
Aug 27, 2023 Brasiliense Women
Legiao W vs Ceilandia W
0:3
Sep 3, 2022 Brasiliense Women
Legiao W vs Ceilandia W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia W 85 / 100
Legiao W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia W Legiao W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Legiao W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ceilandia W's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia W VS Legiao W
2 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 7
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ceilandia W
9 : 1
Legiao W
26 Sept
Minas Brasilia W
6 : 0
Ceilandia W
19 Sept
Ceilandia W
0 : 5
Cresspom W
11 Oct
Minas Brasilia W
6 : 1
Ceilandia W
02 Oct
Ceilandia W
1 : 6
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 5

Legiao W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ceilandia W
9 : 1
Legiao W
26 Sept
Cresspom W
11 : 0
Legiao W
19 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 18
Minas Brasilia W
27 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 2
Cruzeiro DF W
14 Sept
Luziania W
0 : 4
Legiao W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minas Brasilia W 3 2 1 0 25:1 7
2 Cresspom W 3 2 1 0 17:1 7
3 Ceilandia W 3 1 0 2 9:12 3
4 Legiao W 3 0 0 3 1:38 0
Promotion - Brasiliense Women (Play Offs)