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Ceilandia W vs Minas Brasilia W

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Brasiliense Women
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense Women game between Ceilandia W and Minas Brasilia W finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minas Brasilia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ceilandia W
6%
Draws
90%
Minas Brasilia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceilandia W haven't matched Minas Brasilia W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Minas Brasilia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Minas Brasilia W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ceilandia W Clean Sheet 10%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia W Minas Brasilia W
Matches Played 8 33
Wins 3 21
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.25 3.13
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W
6:1
Oct 2, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Ceilandia W vs Minas Brasilia W
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia W 10 / 100
Minas Brasilia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia W Minas Brasilia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.67 goals per match.

Ceilandia W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Ceilandia W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Minas Brasilia W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia W VS Minas Brasilia W
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Minas Brasilia W12
Ceilandia W2
Real Brasilia W6
Cresspom W1
Final
Minas Brasilia W3
Real Brasilia W2