Sport Picks
Celaya vs Leones Negros 2
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Celaya in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Celaya average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Leones Negros 2's 1.47.
- Celaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Celaya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celaya scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Celaya stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Leones Negros 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
