Sport Picks
Celaya vs Montaneses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Primera Premier 
Match Events
35'
35'
Zavala A.
Own Goal
47'
47'
Galicia L.
50'
50'
Salazar A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Premier game between Celaya and Montaneses finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Celaya carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Celaya a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Celaya here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Celaya Clean Sheet 18%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celaya | Montaneses |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Primera Premier
Celaya vs Montaneses
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Celaya
5:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Montaneses
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Adorno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Montaneses Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celaya 67 / 100
Montaneses 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celaya Montaneses
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Celaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celaya scored in 91% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Montaneses conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Celaya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Celaya VS Montaneses
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Celaya
(Home) 08 Nov
Celaya
1 : 1 Tigres de Alica
01 Nov
Los Cabos United
1 : 4 Celaya
25 Oct
Celaya
2 : 1 Cordobes FC
10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1 Celaya
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Celaya
1 : 1 Tigres de Alica
25 Oct
Celaya
2 : 1 Cordobes FC
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1 Montaneses
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0 Tapachula
Page 1 of 4
Montaneses
(Away) 08 Nov
Montaneses
2 : 1 Los Cabos United
01 Nov
Purepechas
2 : 1 Montaneses
25 Oct
Montaneses
0 : 3 Lobos ULMX
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1 Montaneses
11 Oct
Montaneses
2 : 1 Tapachula
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Purepechas
2 : 1 Montaneses
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1 Montaneses
03 Oct
Pioneros
2 : 1 Montaneses
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1 Montaneses
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3 Montaneses
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23:6 | 31 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Lobos ULMX | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 4 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 5 | Zacatepec | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 6 | Cordobes FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Los Cabos United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 8 | Purepechas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tritones Vallarta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 23 |
| 2 | Pioneros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Celaya | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Chapulineros | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 7 | Montaneses | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 8 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:20 | 7 |
| 9 | Tapachula | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11:28 | 6 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
