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Stadium Background

Celaya vs Montaneses

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Celaya and Montaneses finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Celaya
30%
Draws
19%
Montaneses
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Celaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Celaya a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celaya here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Celaya Clean Sheet 13%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celaya Montaneses
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Premier
Celaya vs Montaneses
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Celaya
5:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Montaneses
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 84 / 100
Montaneses 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celaya Montaneses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celaya scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Celaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Montaneses let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Celaya VS Montaneses
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Celaya

(Home)
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0
Tapachula
29 Aug
Pioneros
0 : 3
Celaya
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
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Montaneses

(Away)
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
13 Sept
Montaneses
1 : 3
Racing de Veracruz
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
10 Apr
Heroes de Zaci
1 : 0
Montaneses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Zacatepec 5 3 1 1 6:5 10
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
4 Los Cabos United 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
5 Tigres de Alica 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Tritones Vallarta 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
7 Lobos ULMX 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
8 Cordobes FC 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
9 Purepechas 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celaya 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Racing de Veracruz 4 3 1 0 15:5 12
3 Pioneros 4 3 0 1 12:5 10
4 Deportiva Venados 4 1 2 1 8:6 6
5 Montaneses 5 2 1 2 8:10 6
6 Jaguares De Chiapas 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
7 Tapachula 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
8 Chapulineros 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)