Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Celeste and Etoile de Kivu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celeste.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etoile de Kivu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Celeste haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
- Model gives Etoile de Kivu a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Celeste Clean Sheet 19%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celeste | Etoile de Kivu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Etoile de Kivu
1:0
Nov 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Celeste
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Celeste
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Etoile de Kivu
2:0
May 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Etoile de Kivu
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celeste 10 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celeste Etoile de Kivu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etoile de Kivu has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.
Solid form: Celeste remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Celeste's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Celeste VS Etoile de Kivu
1 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Celeste
(Home) 20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1 Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2 Celeste
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
03 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Vita Club
29 May
Celeste
1 : 3 Aigles du Congo
15 May
Celeste
0 : 1 St Eloi Lupopo
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Etoile de Kivu
(Away) 15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
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12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
22 Feb
AS Maniema
3 : 2 Etoile de Kivu
07 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
