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Celeste vs FC MK Etancheite - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celeste host FC MK Etancheite in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Celeste have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against FC MK Etancheite's 0.54 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Celeste have won 1 to FC MK Etancheite's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.94) back Celeste to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Celeste
30%
Draws
35%
FC MK Etancheite
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celeste come out ahead of FC MK Etancheite on wins alone.
  • Model gives Celeste a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Celeste Clean Sheet 20%
FC MK Etancheite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celeste FC MK Etancheite
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs FC MK Etancheite
1:0
Nov 12, 2025 Ligue 1
FC MK Etancheite vs Celeste
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celeste 67 / 100
FC MK Etancheite 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celeste FC MK Etancheite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celeste scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: FC MK Etancheite conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Celeste remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celeste VS FC MK Etancheite
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celeste

(Home)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
Page 1 of 7

FC MK Etancheite

(Away)
15 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
26 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)