Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celeste vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Celeste Logo

Celeste

0 - 2
FT
Mazembe Logo

Mazembe

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Celeste
35%
Draws
53%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than Celeste.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mazembe here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Celeste Clean Sheet 12%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celeste Mazembe
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.06 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Celeste
2:0
May 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Mazembe
0:2
May 24, 2023 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Celeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celeste 10 / 100
Mazembe 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celeste Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Celeste remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Celeste scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Mazembe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 28% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Celeste VS Mazembe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celeste

(Home)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
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Mazembe

(Away)
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)