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Celik Niksic vs FK Cetinje

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2017/2018 Stadion Željezare
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celik Niksic play FK Cetinje in the Druga Liga 2017/2018. FK Cetinje are favorites here. Recently, Celik Niksic averaged 0.4 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. FK Cetinje averaged 0.78 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. In past meetings, Celik Niksic won 3, FK Cetinje won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Celik Niksic and 0.99 for FK Cetinje. This points to a FK Cetinje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Celik Niksic
15%
Draws
57%
FK Cetinje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Cetinje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Celik Niksic picked up more points recently compared to FK Cetinje.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Celik Niksic Clean Sheet 23%
FK Cetinje Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celik Niksic FK Cetinje
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0.4 0.78
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2018 Druga Liga
Celik Niksic vs FK Cetinje
1:0
Nov 5, 2017 Druga Liga
FK Cetinje vs Celik Niksic
1:0
Aug 27, 2017 Druga Liga
Celik Niksic vs FK Cetinje
2:0
May 3, 2017 Druga Liga
FK Cetinje vs Celik Niksic
3:0
Nov 27, 2016 Druga Liga
FK Cetinje vs Celik Niksic
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celik Niksic 30 / 100
FK Cetinje 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celik Niksic FK Cetinje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Cetinje Win (2)
Secondary Pick FK Cetinje & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Celik Niksic attacking → ← attacking FK Cetinje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celik Niksic scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

FK Cetinje let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Celik Niksic went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Cetinje lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mornar Bar331911348:1168
2FK Podgorica33187859:3361
3Lovcen331710656:3161
4Bokelj331511749:2056
5Otrant33159955:3251
6Berane331561257:4251
7Jedinstvo331441534:3946
8Igalo331291238:3345
9Jezero331281334:3844
10Ibar331191331:3642
11FK Cetinje33332713:7912
12Celik Niksic33232814:948