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Celik Zenica vs FK Sarajevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

WWIN Liga BiH Bilino Polje, Zenica
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celik Zenica host FK Sarajevo in the WWIN Liga BiH. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Celik Zenica at 1.93 goals for, 1 against; FK Sarajevo at 1.31 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Celik Zenica have won 1 to FK Sarajevo's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward Celik Zenica. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Celik Zenica
20%
Draws
42%
FK Sarajevo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Sarajevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Celik Zenica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular WWIN Liga BiH form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Celik Zenica Clean Sheet 20%
FK Sarajevo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celik Zenica FK Sarajevo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Celik Zenica vs FK Sarajevo
0:1
Oct 19, 2022 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Celik Zenica vs FK Sarajevo
2:1
May 23, 2020 WWIN Liga BiH
Celik Zenica vs FK Sarajevo
0:0
Oct 18, 2019 WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sarajevo vs Celik Zenica
2:0
Jul 28, 2019 WWIN Liga BiH
Celik Zenica vs FK Sarajevo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celik Zenica 32 / 100
FK Sarajevo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celik Zenica FK Sarajevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celik Zenica scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

FK Sarajevo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Celik Zenica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Celik Zenica VS FK Sarajevo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celik Zenica

(Home)
18 Sept
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Celik Zenica
11 Sept
Celik Zenica
3 : 2
Radnik Bijeljina
05 Sept
BSK Banja Luka
3 : 2
Celik Zenica
01 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
0 : 0
Celik Zenica
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 6

FK Sarajevo

(Away)
25 Sept
Gornji Rahic
0 : 3
FK Sarajevo
20 Sept
FK Sarajevo
2 : 0
FK Sloga Meridian
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
09 Sept
Zeljeznicar
2 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
FK Sarajevo
1 : 0
Borac Banja Luka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zrinjski 8 7 0 1 17:5 21
2 Borac Banja Luka 8 6 1 1 15:7 19
3 FK Sarajevo 8 4 1 3 6:5 13
4 Zeljeznicar 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
5 Siroki Brijeg 9 2 4 3 10:11 10
6 FK Sloga Meridian 8 2 3 3 5:8 9
7 Celik Zenica 8 2 2 4 11:12 8
8 BSK Banja Luka 8 2 2 4 12:14 8
9 Velez Mostar 9 2 2 5 6:14 8
10 Radnik Bijeljina 8 0 4 4 12:19 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)