Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Kutesa D.
Assist: Eliasson N.
18'
18'
Strakosha T.
34'
34'
Kovacevic F.
AI Match Summary
Celje in this Conference League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celje.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celje
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Celje haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Celje here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Celje Clean Sheet 12%
AEK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celje | AEK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Conference League
AEK vs Celje
0:2
Mar 12, 2026 Conference League
Celje vs AEK
0:4
Oct 2, 2025 Conference League
Celje vs AEK
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celje Compare
Top Goalscorer Kovacevic F.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
AEK Compare
Top Goalscorer Kutesa D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celje 30 / 100
AEK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celje AEK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celje found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (25 games).
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Celje has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
AEK let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Celje VS AEK
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Celje
(Home) 11 Aug
Celje
2 : 0 Ararat-Armenia
08 Aug
Celje
1 : 0 O. Ljubljana
04 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1 Celje
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1 Maribor
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2 KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 5
11 Aug
Celje
2 : 0 Ararat-Armenia
08 Aug
Celje
1 : 0 O. Ljubljana
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1 Maribor
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2 KF Egnatia
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2 Mura
Page 1 of 4
AEK
(Away) 12 Aug
AEK
2 : 3 OFI Crete
08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0 Athens Kallithea
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0 St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2 Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3 AEK
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3 AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2 AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0 AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2 AEK
13 May
PAOK
1 : 1 AEK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow Czestochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | Shkendija Tetovo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | Univ. Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
