Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celje vs Aluminij - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Avdyli M.
19'
Petrisko P.
55'
Bekavac A.

AI Match Summary

Celje in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Celje
30%
Draws
19%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Celje have won more games recently than Aluminij.
  • Model gives Aluminij a 19% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celje have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Celje Clean Sheet 16%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Aluminij
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Aluminij
1:0
Sep 2, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Celje
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Aluminij
5:0
Mar 5, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Celje
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Aluminij
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdyli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Aluminij Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 23 / 100
Aluminij 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Celje found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Aluminij
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
05 Nov
Sturm Graz
2 : 3
Celje
01 Nov
Celje
4 : 0
Nafta
28 Oct
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Celje
25 Oct
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 2
Celje
22 Oct
Celje
2 : 2
Salzburg
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Aluminij

(Away)
31 Oct
Aluminij
5 : 0
Radomlje
28 Oct
Nafta
0 : 0
Aluminij
23 Oct
NK Brezice
4 : 2
Aluminij
16 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 1
O. Ljubljana
10 Oct
Celje
1 : 0
Aluminij
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koper 14 8 4 2 25:12 28
2 Maribor 14 6 6 2 21:14 24
3 O. Ljubljana 15 6 5 4 17:13 23
4 Bravo 14 5 5 4 15:15 20
5 Celje 13 5 5 3 17:12 20
6 Nafta 15 5 4 6 19:21 19
7 Aluminij 14 4 5 5 21:13 17
8 Mura 14 2 7 5 14:25 13
9 Grosuplje 14 3 4 7 15:25 13
10 Radomlje 13 1 5 7 15:29 8
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)