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Celje vs Grosuplje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Celje Logo

Celje

Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Grosuplje Logo

Grosuplje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celje host Grosuplje in the Prva liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Celje have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Grosuplje's 1.7 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Grosuplje slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Grosuplje to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Celje
15%
Draws
51%
Grosuplje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grosuplje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Grosuplje haven't matched Celje's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Celje a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Celje Clean Sheet 18%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Grosuplje
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Prva liga
Grosuplje vs Celje
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 40 / 100
Grosuplje 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Grosuplje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celje scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Grosuplje has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Grosuplje's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Grosuplje
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
15 Oct
Celje
0 : 3
Omonia
10 Oct
Celje
1 : 0
Aluminij
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
Page 1 of 7

Grosuplje

(Away)
11 Oct
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Maribor
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 11 6 5 0 21:9 23
2 Koper 11 5 4 2 14:11 19
3 Bravo 12 5 4 3 14:13 19
4 O. Ljubljana 12 5 3 4 14:11 18
5 Nafta 12 5 2 5 18:16 17
6 Celje 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
7 Aluminij 12 3 4 5 16:13 13
8 Mura 12 2 5 5 13:24 11
9 Grosuplje 11 3 2 6 15:20 11
10 Radomlje 11 1 4 6 14:23 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)