Sport Picks

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Celje vs Koper

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celje host Koper in the Prva liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Celje at 2.06 goals for, 1.23 against; Koper at 1.86 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Celje slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Celje. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Celje
35%
Draws
15%
Koper
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celje come out ahead of Koper on wins alone.
  • Celje are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Celje Clean Sheet 17%
Koper Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Koper
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.06 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Koper
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Celje
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Koper
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Celje
3:3
May 14, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Koper vs Celje
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 84 / 100
Koper 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Koper

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celje scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Koper let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Celje has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Koper
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
19 Aug
Slovan Bratislava
1 : 1
Celje
15 Aug
Nafta
1 : 3
Celje
11 Aug
Celje
2 : 0
Ararat-Armenia
08 Aug
Celje
1 : 0
O. Ljubljana
04 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1
Celje
Page 1 of 7

Koper

(Away)
16 Aug
Koper
0 : 0
Bravo
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
02 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 1
Koper
30 Jul
Koper
1 : 4
NSI Runavik
26 Jul
Koper
2 : 2
Radomlje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 5 2 3 0 7:2 9
2 Celje 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
3 Bravo 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
4 Nafta 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
5 Mura 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
6 Koper 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
7 Aluminij 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
8 Grosuplje 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
9 Radomlje 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
10 O. Ljubljana 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)