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Celje vs MTK Budapest

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Atrok Z.
60' Event
Seslar S.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Hinora K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Celje and MTK Budapest finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Celje
20%
Draws
58%
MTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Celje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on MTK Budapest taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Celje Clean Sheet 18%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje MTK Budapest
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Celje vs MTK Budapest
4:3
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Celje vs MTK Budapest
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucys A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotnik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Atrok Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hinora K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 20 / 100
MTK Budapest 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje MTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

MTK Budapest let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Celje remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS MTK Budapest
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
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MTK Budapest

(Away)
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1
MTK Budapest
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