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Celje vs MTK Budapest

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Atrok I.
60' Event
Seslar S.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Hinora K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Celje and MTK Budapest finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Celje
17%
Draws
13%
MTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Celje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Celje taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Celje Clean Sheet 12%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje MTK Budapest
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Celje vs MTK Budapest
4:3
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Celje vs MTK Budapest
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucys A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotnik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Atrok I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hinora K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 65 / 100
MTK Budapest 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje MTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: MTK Budapest conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Solid form: Celje remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS MTK Budapest
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2
Mura
11 Jul
Celje
1 : 1
Istra 1961
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
04 Jul
Celje
1 : 1
Cukaricki
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MTK Budapest

(Away)
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 1
Komarno
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 3
Koper
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
0 : 4
LNZ Cherkasy
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
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