Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Celje host Nafta in the Prva liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Nafta have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Celje have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Celje slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Celje to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nafta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Celje here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celje | Nafta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celje's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Nafta let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: Nafta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Celje
(Home)Nafta
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Koper | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Bravo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 4 | O. Ljubljana | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aluminij | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Nafta | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Celje | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Grosuplje | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mura | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:21 | 9 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |