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Celle Varazze vs NovaRomentin

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Diop B.
72' Event
Foresta A.
76'
Pompilio E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Celle Varazze and NovaRomentin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NovaRomentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Celle Varazze
15%
Draws
0%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celle Varazze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • NovaRomentin haven't matched Celle Varazze's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Celle Varazze's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 18%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze NovaRomentin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.23 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs NovaRomentin
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Celle Varazze
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Foresta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 85 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NovaRomentin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Celle Varazze has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: NovaRomentin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Celle Varazze's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS NovaRomentin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Celle Varazze
2 : 0
Varese FC
02 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 3
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)