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Celle Varazze vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Balan G.
76'
Rota A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Celle Varazze and Sanremese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Celle Varazze
17%
Draws
13%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Celle Varazze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanremese come out ahead of Celle Varazze on wins alone.
  • Celle Varazze are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 19%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Sanremese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Sanremese
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Celle Varazze
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sanremese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 67 / 100
Sanremese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celle Varazze went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Celle Varazze scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sanremese conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Sanremese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Celle Varazze
2 : 0
Varese FC
02 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 3
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

Sanremese

(Away)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)