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Celle Varazze vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Balan G.
76'
Rota A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Celle Varazze and Sanremese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Celle Varazze
20%
Draws
58%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanremese come out ahead of Celle Varazze on wins alone.
  • Sanremese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 20%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Sanremese
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Celle Varazze
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Sanremese
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Celle Varazze
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sanremese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 24 / 100
Sanremese 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celle Varazze scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Sanremese has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Celle Varazze remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Sanremese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 7

Sanremese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)